Saturday, May 28, 2022
Real EstateUK

UK property stock supply set to tighten

Knight Frank

Knight Frank says that after some jitters before Christmas when the Omicron variant first appeared, students and companies are now activating their plans

While the UK property sales market is on the road to normality following the turbulence caused by the pandemic, the journey back to normality for the lettings market will take longer, especially in London and the Home Counties, according to Knight Frank.

The company reports that students and corporate tenants account for a large part of demand, which has got stronger over the last 12 months as offices and Universities have re-opened. Supply has been more erratic over the same period. It surged at the start of last year as properties that would otherwise be used for short-lets and staycations moved onto the long-let market.

As lockdown restrictions were relaxed, they switched back, meaning prospective tenants were involved in a so-called sprint for stock. The stamp duty holiday exacerbated the situation, with many would-be landlords deciding to capitalise on the tax break by opting to sell.

Knight Frank says that after some jitters before Christmas when the Omicron variant first appeared, students and companies are now activating their plans. Their problem is that supply remains tight.

The numbers of corporate relocation enquiries was five times higher in the final quarter of last year than it was in Q2 2020. The enquiries come from companies of all sizes looking to relocate staff to the UK across a range of sectors including finance, tech and energy.

Meanwhile, the number of market valuation appraisals was only 38% higher. Appraisals take place when a prospective landlord values their property for the rental market and act as a leading indicator of supply.

Knight Frank anticipates that there will be a steadier flow of students looking for rental properties in the early months of 2022 than previous years, which will accentuate this imbalance.

Everything points towards a scramble for stock this spring, said Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. Any re-balancing between supply and demand in the lettings market will only come later this year at the earliest.

Rents are likely to keep rising strongly as a result, he said. Average rents rose 2.9% in prime central London last year and we forecast higher growth in 2022. In prime outer London, rents increased by 3.7% in 2021.


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